Deep Futures Our Prospects for Survival 1st Edition by Doug Cocks ISBN 0868404934 9780868404936 by Doug Cocks 9780585484853, 9780868404936, 0585484856, 0868404934 instant download after payment.

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ISBN 10: 0868404934 
ISBN 13: 9780868404936
Author: Doug Cocks

Doug Cocks looks at the predictions of serious futurologists for what lies ahead of us all, looking as far into the future as the next glacial age. He reflects on ideas for thinking about the future, drawn from an array of disciplines, and on the broad questions that will continue to confront humanity. Finally, he identifies strategies that might be adopted to maximize humanity’s prospects into the near future and beyond.

Deep Futures Our Prospects for Survival 1st Table of contents:

PART 1: FUTURES WE HAVE GLIMPSED
Chapter 1 21C: A difficult century
Global springboard to the future
Hobsbawm's coming problems
Geopolitical futures
Geoeconomic futures
World-shaping technologies
A growing world population
Geosocial futures
Global environmental futures
Global resource futures
Summary: change in the 21st century
CHAPTER 2 Deep futures
M3:The world of the third millennium
The next glacial age
Beyond the next glacial age
Overview: dungeons and dragons
PART 2: UNDERSTANDING THE TASK
Chapter 3 What is the question?
Why do people think about the future?
What do people want of their own futures?
What sort of society do people want?
Can societies have goals?
The process of setting social goals
Quality survival as a goal for world society
From goals to objectives
Can we shape the future?
Recapitulation
Chapter 4 Understanding how societies change over time
Ideas from history
Some social psychology
Sociology and societal change
Systems theory and societal change
Ecological theory and societal change
Evolutionary theory and societal change
Overview: A plurality of frameworks
Conclusion
PART 3: TAKING CHARGE
Chapter 5 A strategy for managing the deep future
Picking a metaphor for the deep futures problem
Wicked problems
Accepting that rationality is bounded
A strategy of responding to priority issues
Four priority issues
Chapter 6 Guidelines I: Nursing the world through endless change
Managing the change rate
Managing trends
Managing fragility and senescence
Managing unpredictability
A Sisyphean task
Chapter 7 Guidelines II: Learning forever
Four pillars of social learning
Nurturing social learning
Boosting social learning
Managing science and technology
Managing stocks and flows of knowledge
Recapitulation
Chapter 8 Guidelines III: Working on perennial issues
Managing social relations
Managing global governance
Managing production and distribution
Managing the global ecosystem
Chapter overview
Chapter 9 Stories to live by
Backtracking
Style, attitude and role
Appendix: Basic properties of dissipative (energy-degrading) systems
References

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Tags: Doug Cocks, Deep, Prospects