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Foundations Of Decision Analysis Abbas Ali Elsayed Howard Ronald A

SKU: BELL-21354882

$ 31.00 ~~$ 45.00~~ (-31%)

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Foundations Of Decision Analysis Abbas Ali Elsayed Howard Ronald A instant download after payment.

Publisher: Pearson

File Extension: PDF

File size: 143.38 MB

Author: Abbas, Ali El-Sayed; Howard, Ronald A

ISBN: 9780132336246, 9781292079691, 0132336243, 129207969X

Language: English

Year: 2015

Product desciption

Foundations Of Decision Analysis Abbas Ali Elsayed Howard Ronald A by Abbas, Ali El-sayed; Howard, Ronald A 9780132336246, 9781292079691, 0132336243, 129207969X instant download after payment.

Key Benefit:For courses in Decision Making and Engineering.The Fundamentals of Analyzing and Making DecisionsFoundations of Decision Analysisis a groundbreaking text that explores the art of decision making, both in life and in professional settings. By exploring themes such as dealing with uncertainty and understanding the distinction between a decision and its outcome, theFirst Editionteaches readers to achieve clarity of action in any situation. The book treats decision making as an evolutionary process from a scientific standpoint. Strategic decision making analysis is presented as a tool to help students understand, discuss, and settle on important life choices. Through this text, readers will understand the specific thought process that occurs behind approaching any decision to make easier and better life choices for themselves.Key Topics:Introduction to Quality Decision Making; Experiencing a Decision; Clarifying Values; Precise Decision Language; Possibilities; Handling Uncertainty; Relevance; Rules of Actional Thought; The Party Problem; Using a Value Measure; Risk Attitude; Sensitivity Analysis; Basic Information Gathering; Decision Diagrams; Encoding a Probability Distribution on a Measure; From Phenomenon to Assessment; Framing a Decision; Valuing Information from Multiple Sources; Options; Detectors with Multiple Indications; Decisions with Influences; The Logarithmic u-Curve; The Linear Risk Tolerance u-Curve; Approximate Expressions for the Certain; Deterministic and Probabilistic Dominance; Decisions with Multiple Attributes (1)-Ordering; Decisions with Multiple Attributes (2)-Value Functions; Decisions with Multiple Attributes (3)-Preference Equivalent; Prospects with Preference and Value Functions for Investment Cash Flows: Time Preference; Probabilities Over Value; Betting on Disparate Belief; Learning from Experimentation; Auctions and Bidding; Evaluating, Scaling, and Sharing Uncertain Deals; Making Risky Decisions; Decisions with a High Probability of Death; Discretizing Continuous Probability Distributions; Chapter 36: Solving Decision Problems by Simulation; The Decision Analysis Cycle; Topics in Organizational Decision Making; Coordinating the Decision Making of Large; Decisions and Ethics GroupsMarketThis book is a useful resource for anyone who wants to learn how to improve their decision making process.