Uncertainty and Risk Mental Formal Experimental Representations 1st Edition by Mohammed Abdellaoui, R Duncan Luce, Mark J Machina, Bertrand Munier ISBN 3540489355 9783540489351 by Mohammed Abdellaoui, R. Duncan Luce, Mark J. Machina, Bertrand Munier (eds.) 3540489347 instant download after payment.

Uncertainty and Risk: Mental, Formal, Experimental Representations 1st Edition by Mohammed Abdellaoui, R. Duncan Luce, Mark J. Machina, Bertrand Munier - Ebook PDF Instant Download/Delivery: 3540489355, 9783540489351

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Product details:

ISBN 10: 3540489355

ISBN 13: 9783540489351 

Author: Mohammed Abdellaoui, R. Duncan Luce, Mark J. Machina, Bertrand Munier

This book tries to sort out the different meanings of uncertainty and to discover their foundations. It shows that uncertainty can be represented using various tools and mental guidelines. Coverage also examines alternative ways to deal with risk and risk attitude concepts. Behavior under uncertainty emerges from this book as something to base more on inquiry and reflection rather than on mere intuition.

Table of contents:

Front Matter
Introduction
Foundations

1. Conjectures, Refutations and Discoveries: Incorporating New Knowledge in Models of Belief and Choice under Uncertainty

2. When an Event Makes a Difference

3. Countable Additivity and the Foundations of Bayesian Statistics

4. On the Quantification and Decomposition of Uncertainty

5. The Importance of Representational Tools in Understanding Behaviour Under Uncertainty and Risk

6. Preference for Diversification with Similarity Considerations

7. Uncertainty Improves the Second-Best

8. Lorenz Meets Rating but Misses Valuation

9. A Deeper Look at Hyperbolic Discounting

10. The Assessment of Several Alternative Decision Rules

11. “Take-the-Best” and Other Simple Strategies: Why and When They Work “Well” with Binary Cues

12. On Generalized Secretary Problems

13. Voting on Alternatives or on Criteria? The Meta-Decision on Group Decision Procedures

14. Models of Risk Attitude Modelling and Methodological Issues

15. Probabilistic Risk Analysis Versus Decision Analysis: Similarities, Differences and Illustrations

16. A Conjoint Measurement Based Rationale for Inducing Preferences

17. Active Search for Probability Information and Recall Performance: Is Probability an Outstanding Element in the Mental Representation of Risky Decisions?

18. Evolutionary Analysis of Risk Attitudes in Competitive Bidding Environments Using Simulation

19. Behavior in Risky Decisions: Focus on Risk Defusing
    Back Matter

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Tags: Mohammed Abdellaoui, R Duncan Luce, Mark J Machina, Bertrand Munier, Uncertainty, Risk, Mental, Formal, Experimental, Representations